B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NXPI
NXP SemiconductorsBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The reported revenue beat, broad end-market growth, 18% year-over-year midpoint Q3 revenue guide, and management's emphasis on software-defined vehicles, physical AI and data-center expansion support a constructive medium-term operating thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
What can break
Channel inventory remains elevated at 11 weeks versus 9 weeks year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Momentum
30
Value
65
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $270.00 · Bull $315.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $313.29
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +24.3
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +6.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Channel inventory remains elevated at 11 weeks versus 9 weeks year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
- • Execution risk against the Q3 revenue, margin and EPS guidance.
- • The immediate 7% post-print decline suggests the strong results were not enough for expectations.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Q2 beat and Q3 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+24.3
Δ21d
+24.7
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
-0.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 30.0 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 68.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$58.68B
Beta
1.47
Shares Out
252.16M
P/E (TTM)
27.7
P/S (TTM)
4.68
P/FCF (TTM)
76.04
Rev YoY
+19.5%
EPS YoY
+72.4%
Gross Margin
+55.1%
Op Margin
+28.7%
Net Debt
$9.23B
Current Ratio
2.04
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data