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NXDR

NextdoorB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Platform WAU, 15% Q2 revenue growth, a swing to $9.5 million of adjusted EBITDA and raised full-year guidance indicate that product improvements and expense discipline may be producing genuine operating leverage [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
GAAP losses and stock-based compensation continue despite non-GAAP profitability.
Momentum
97
Value
40
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.75 · Bull $3.35 · Bear $1.75Analysis 2026-09-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.35
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -
Value40 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • GAAP losses and stock-based compensation continue despite non-GAAP profitability.
  • • Loose peer comparability and unavailable analyst-revision data increase valuation uncertainty.
  • • The turnaround rests on limited evidence: profitability is recent, GAAP results remain loss-making, direct-peer benchmarking is weak and several officers have reported open-market sales.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Execution against Q3 and raised full-year outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 97.3 / Value 39.9 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$940.04M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
386.85M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-17.3
P/S (TTM)
3.25
P/FCF (TTM)
100.86
Rev YoY
+14.5%
EPS YoY
-86.0%
Gross Margin
+83.6%
Op Margin
-16.6%
Net Debt
-$372.52M
Current Ratio
13.27
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data