B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NVRI
EnviriDNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
If the Clean Earth sale closes on the mid-2026 path and the remaining company is recapitalized cleanly, NVRI can shift from conglomerate discount to a sum-of-parts story; the packet's median target of $21.67 is modestly above the $19.21 anchor.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
2026 New Enviri EBITDA is guided modestly below 2025 at midpoint, so a weak Rail trajectory could offset Harsco Environmental improvement [#PR-2026-02-24].
Momentum
25
Value
54
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $22.50 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.67
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -6.0
Value54 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • 2026 New Enviri EBITDA is guided modestly below 2025 at midpoint, so a weak Rail trajectory could offset Harsco Environmental improvement [#PR-2026-02-24].
- • Clean Earth transaction closing risk remains until all remaining conditions are satisfied despite shareholder approval [#8-K-2026-05-04].
- • As of May 8, 2026 there is no actual Q1 2026 earnings release to evaluate yet because the company scheduled results for May 11.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-11
Q1 2026 results are scheduled for May 11, not May 5
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
+14.7
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+6.6
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-11.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 25.4 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 47.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$589.46M
Beta
1.77
Shares Out
28.19M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-10.1
P/S (TTM)
0.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-60.40
Rev YoY
-41.0%
EPS YoY
+698.5%
Gross Margin
+18.4%
Op Margin
-1.5%
Net Debt
$1.35B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data