NRG
NRG EnergyDNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Post-earnings support rests on management reaffirming full-year 2026 guidance despite a soft quarter, a visible TEF project milestone by late May, and continued shareholder returns. The packet's median analyst target of about $214 suggests sizable upside if investors regain confidence in integration and 2026 cash conversion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
LS Power and CPower integration remains a live execution risk, with higher interest expense, depreciation, amortization, and acquisition-related costs already visible in Q1.
Momentum
35
Value
44
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $120.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $204.56
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -3.3
Value44 · Δ7d +1.2
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+16.0
Value
44
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
57
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+14.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 34.8 / Value 44.2 / Sentiment 56.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$27.24B
Beta
1.26
Shares Out
210.99M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
23.86
Rev YoY
+19.7%
EPS YoY
-85.6%
Gross Margin
+11.0%
Op Margin
+7.9%
Net Debt
$11.88B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology