B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$14.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NOMD
Nomad FoodsCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The support case is valuation and cash return rather than a confirmed operating upturn: management reaffirmed full-year 2026 sales and EBITDA guidance, raised adjusted EPS because of incremental repurchases, and maintained a dividend. If volumes stabilize and pricing actions offset cost pressure in later quarters, the stock could recover from a depressed base.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.
What can break
Adjusted EPS guidance improved because of incremental share repurchases, not because management raised the operating outlook.
Momentum
67
Value
64
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.25 · Bull $14.25 · Bear $7.75Analysis 2026-06-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.69
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -1.5
Value64 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment51 · Δ7d +5.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EPS guidance improved because of incremental share repurchases, not because management raised the operating outlook.
- • Full-year 2026 guidance still implies organic revenue decline of 2%-5% and adjusted EBITDA decline of 5%-10%.
- • Q1 showed the core risk clearly: revenue, organic sales, volume, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA all declined, and the full-year outlook still calls for lower organic revenue and EBITDA.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-28
Quarterly dividend supports the cash-return floor but does not solve operating pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+3.5
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
51
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.5
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 67.3 / Value 63.9 / Sentiment 51.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$10.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$7.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.59B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
139.79M
P/E (TTM)
8.0
P/S (TTM)
0.50
P/FCF (TTM)
6.84
Rev YoY
-0.6%
EPS YoY
-5.0%
Gross Margin
+26.9%
Op Margin
+12.8%
Net Debt
$2.33B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data