B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$660.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NOC
Northrop GrummanBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Northrop has improving forward visibility from record backlog and $20 billion of net awards, while management raised FY2026 sales and adjusted EPS guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21]. The deterministic score also shifted to modestly positive expected returns across 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Post-earnings analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and verified market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
37
Value
58
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $575.00 · Bull $660.00 · Bear $485.00Analysis 2026-08-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $653.91
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -0.1
Value58 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Post-earnings analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and verified market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
- • Record backlog may convert unevenly depending on contract timing, program execution, and mix.
- • Q2 segment margin declined to 10.6% from 11.8% a year earlier; Defense Systems and Space Systems operating income also fell year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21].
Catalyst clock
2026-07-21
Q2 earnings and raised FY2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-14.5
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 37.1 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 76.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$575.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$485.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$81B
Beta
0.03
Shares Out
142.06M
P/E (TTM)
22.0
P/S (TTM)
2.13
P/FCF (TTM)
152.80
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
-5.8%
Gross Margin
+20.1%
Op Margin
+10.7%
Net Debt
$13.48B
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data