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NNBR

NNC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case rests on conversion of Electric Grid, Data Center, Defense, Electronics, and other growth programs into sustained revenue and margin gains. The Q1 update cited $43 million of awards, an $80-$90 million 2026 new-business-win target, and shippable backlog.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.1.
What can break
Execution risk remains high for more than 60 launched programs and the reported shippable backlog. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-14]
Momentum
96
Value
53
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.25 · Bull $5.50 · Bear $2.25Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.67
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d +3.5
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -8.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution risk remains high for more than 60 launched programs and the reported shippable backlog. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-14]
  • • NN identifies customer concentration, capacity underutilization, raw-material and labor disruptions, tariffs, leverage, and refinancing as material risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06]
  • • The bear case is that program launches do not convert on schedule, capacity or customer concentration pressures persist, and industrial demand, tariffs, supply chains, labor, leverage, or financing constraints weigh on execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 2026 earnings release and conference call

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-3.1
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+14.1
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.1
Δ21d
+5.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 95.7 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 55.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$3.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$339.41M
Beta
2.30
Shares Out
82.58M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.8
P/S (TTM)
0.16
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
27.15
Rev YoY
+19.3%
EPS YoY
-49.3%
Gross Margin
+6.9%
Op Margin
-3.0%
Net Debt
$199.97M
Current Ratio
1.79
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data