NN

NextNavD

Nasdaq / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that May 14, 2026 results or subsequent investor events improve visibility on commercialization while the FCC path advances toward an NPRM, which management highlighted as a meaningful milestone on March 17, 2026 [#8-K-2026-03-17].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +23.1.

What can break

Balance-sheet complexity remains a watch item given long-term debt, derivative liability exposure, and negative stockholders’ equity at year-end 2025 [#8-K-2026-03-17].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $15.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $39.50

Why

Momentum4 · Δ7d -14.6

Value35 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment94 · Δ7d +23.1

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-14.6

Δ21d

-25.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+23.1

Δ21d

+34.3

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 3.8 / Value 35.3 / Sentiment 94.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$1.75B

Beta

0.99

Shares Out

136.44M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-9.0

P/S (TTM)

380.46

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-36.96

Rev YoY

-35.3%

EPS YoY

-73.3%

Gross Margin

-296.2%

Op Margin

-1504.0%

Net Debt

$136.46M

Current Ratio

10.49

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology