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NMR

NomuraC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained market recovery, higher M&A/advisory fees and delivered cost cuts raise ROE and drive a re-rating toward peers within 12 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Failure to execute cost cuts or capital-return plans
Momentum
53
Value
59
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.93 · Bull $9.82 · Bear $5.66Analysis 2025-09-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.14
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -7.8
Value59 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to execute cost cuts or capital-return plans
  • • Global market sell-off compresses trading/IB fees
  • • Prolonged risk-off, adverse JPY moves, or missed restructuring targets reduce trading and fee revenue, force capital preservation and compress the ADR toward the bear outcome.

Catalyst clock

No dated catalyst is available.

Global market volatility / risk-off

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
53
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
-22.9
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 53.5 / Value 58.7 / Sentiment 46.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.82
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$7.93
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.66
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$26.22B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
2.92B
P/E (TTM)
11.1
P/S (TTM)
0.93
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.48
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
+28.8%
Gross Margin
+40.3%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$199.45B
Current Ratio
1.41
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data