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NIU

NiuC
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
China unit growth remains strong, accessories and services are growing, and cash and short-term investments totaled RMB 1,475.8 million at June 30, 2026. If product mix and supply-chain costs improve, the low share price could support a recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Analyst coverage, post-print estimate revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable or insufficient. A bounded helper retrieval of the company IR release timed out, so conviction remains low despite the existing primary-source citation context.
Momentum
13
Value
49
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.20 · Bull $2.80 · Bear $1.50Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.64
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -
Value49 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage, post-print estimate revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable or insufficient. A bounded helper retrieval of the company IR release timed out, so conviction remains low despite the existing primary-source citation context.
  • • Gross margin declined to 16.0% from 20.1% due to China product mix, upstream supply-chain costs, and lower international kick-scooter margins [#IR-2026-08-10].
  • • The Q2 print showed weak revenue conversion, a 410-basis-point gross-margin decline, higher operating expenses, and a return to net losses.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 earnings reset the near-term thesis

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 13.3 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 68.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$160.79M
Beta
-0.24
Shares Out
70.83M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-33.1
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+21.9%
EPS YoY
-1970.7%
Gross Margin
+18.2%
Op Margin
-5.3%
Net Debt
-$98.03M
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data