B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NIU
NiuBNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 deliveries and international growth could support the prior revenue outlook; improved mix and cost control could eventually restore margins. This remains unproven until financial results are released.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
China product mix, higher upstream costs and weaker international kick-scooter margins may persist. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-10]
Momentum
13
Value
69
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.90 · Bull $2.45 · Bear $1.25Analysis 2026-10-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-03
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-03
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-03. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.56
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -
Value69 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • China product mix, higher upstream costs and weaker international kick-scooter margins may persist. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-10]
- • Low analyst coverage visibility and unavailable target revisions limit valuation confidence.
- • Q2 volume growth failed to protect pricing or profitability.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-16
November 16 Q3 results test delivery-to-profit conversion
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
13
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
69
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
68
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 13.3 / Value 68.8 / Sentiment 67.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-11-03
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-03
Market Cap
$138.05M
Beta
-0.24
Shares Out
70.83M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-28.4
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+21.9%
EPS YoY
-1970.7%
Gross Margin
+18.2%
Op Margin
-5.3%
Net Debt
-$98.03M
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-11-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data