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NIQ

NIQ Global IntelligenceB
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print materially improved the operating thesis: 8.0% reported revenue growth, 21.9% Adjusted EBITDA growth, 270-basis-point margin expansion, stronger cash flow, and raised full-year guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.
What can break
AI products and ConnectAI clients have not yet produced quantified financial contribution.
Momentum
99
Value
61
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.20 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $13.50Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.69
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -0.0
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +8.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI products and ConnectAI clients have not yet produced quantified financial contribution.
  • • APAC growth remains weak relative to the Americas and EMEA.
  • • NIQ still reported a $30.5 million net loss, APAC organic growth was only 1.9%, and AI monetization remains unquantified.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 2026 results exceeded company guidance and full-year outlook was raised

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+10.9
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.2
Δ21d
-5.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 99.2 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 60.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.09B
Beta
-
Shares Out
294.96M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-14.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
12.90
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
+1036.3%
Gross Margin
+40.9%
Op Margin
+7.8%
Net Debt
$3.36B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data