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NI

NiSourceC
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution of approved rate-base projects, favorable regulatory outcomes, and steady gas volumes lead to re-rating toward the high analyst target; continued dividend support reinforces investor demand.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.
What can break
Adverse regulatory rulings or delayed approvals
Momentum
58
Value
51
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.38 · Bull $52.50 · Bear $41.00Analysis 2026-01-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.97
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +10.5
Value51 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -6.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse regulatory rulings or delayed approvals
  • • Execution or cost-overrun risks on major infrastructure projects
  • • Unfavorable regulatory rulings, prolonged weak volumes or higher-than-expected capex pushing leverage could compress multiples and depress share price toward analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-28

Q1 2026 quarterly earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+10.5
Δ21d
+18.7
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-23.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 57.7 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 59.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$46.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$20.91B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
479.56M
P/E (TTM)
22.0
P/S (TTM)
3.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.70
Rev YoY
+4.6%
EPS YoY
-56.3%
Gross Margin
+59.2%
Op Margin
+27.0%
Net Debt
$16.1B
Current Ratio
0.50
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data