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NFE

New Fortress EnergyA
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If the restructuring closes substantially as planned and the Brazil financing bridge holds, NFE could move from immediate solvency risk toward a cleaner post-transaction asset base; that is the main path to any re-rating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
If the restructuring transaction is not consummated, the 10-Q says the company may be compelled into alternative in-court restructuring initiatives and stockholders would likely see no recovery [#10-Q-2026-05-14].
Momentum
62
Value
33
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.45 · Bull $1.10 · Bear $0.05Analysis 2026-05-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $0.50
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -
Value33 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • If the restructuring transaction is not consummated, the 10-Q says the company may be compelled into alternative in-court restructuring initiatives and stockholders would likely see no recovery [#10-Q-2026-05-14].
  • • Management concluded there is substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern [#10-Q-2026-05-14].
  • • Post-earnings evidence stayed negative: Q1 revenue fell sharply, the quarterly loss widened, cash declined materially, and the company explicitly maintained a going-concern warning tied to restructuring completion and delayed capex.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-12

Brazil financing commitments help but at punitive terms

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 62.1 / Value 32.7 / Sentiment 88.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$87.18M
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
285.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.0
P/S (TTM)
0.17
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.15
Rev YoY
+2.8%
EPS YoY
-34.5%
Gross Margin
+3.8%
Op Margin
-22.5%
Net Debt
$8.21B
Current Ratio
0.16
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data