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NEXN

Nexxen InternationalD
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that March guidance proves conservative, the V and smart-TV home-screen products deepen programmatic mix, and the buyback keeps shrinking float while the balance sheet stays debt-light [#PR-2026-03-04] [#20F-2026-03-04].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.1.
What can break
Advertising demand and customer spending can soften quickly with macro or policy shocks.
Momentum
52
Value
69
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.00 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $4.75Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.64
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d -18.1
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +6.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advertising demand and customer spending can soften quickly with macro or policy shocks.
  • • Buyback support may fade if the new $40 million authorization is delayed, slowed or not meaningfully executed.
  • • The bear case is that forward visibility is still thin, weakness in non-core lines persisted into Q1 2026, and there is still no retrieved post-March primary update confirming that early-quarter strength or the start of the new repurchase plan [#PR-2026-03-04] [#PR-2026-03-02].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-04

Confirmation that the new $40 million buyback has actually started would tighten downside support

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
52
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.1
Δ21d
-33.3
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+10.7
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+10.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 51.9 / Value 68.7 / Sentiment 35.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$586.74M
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
55.72M
P/E (TTM)
11.1
P/S (TTM)
0.56
P/FCF (TTM)
3.68
Rev YoY
+10.5%
EPS YoY
-55.6%
Gross Margin
+65.2%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
-$101.38M
Current Ratio
1.26
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data