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NESR

National Energy Services ReunitedB
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company-reported Q2 activity and cash generation, Kuwait awards, and Aramco demonstration agreement provide identifiable growth paths if execution holds [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10] [#PR-2026-08-05] [#PR-2026-10-08].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.1.
What can break
CEO, CFO and director open-market sales may weigh on sentiment, but do not establish an operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-21] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-02] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-11].
Momentum
3
Value
59
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.50 · Bull $29.00 · Bear $15.50Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.67
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d +1.0
Value59 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -11.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CEO, CFO and director open-market sales may weigh on sentiment, but do not establish an operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-21] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-02] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-11].
  • • Kuwait awards and the lithium demonstration carry timing, execution and revenue-conversion risk.
  • • The reported Saudi slowdown may make Q2's activity and margins difficult to repeat.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Test of Q2 activity and cash-flow durability

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
-40.4
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+3.7
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.1
Δ21d
-19.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 3.1 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 63.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.06B
Beta
0.25
Shares Out
100.85M
P/E (TTM)
22.5
P/S (TTM)
1.28
P/FCF (TTM)
35.13
Rev YoY
+59.1%
EPS YoY
+173.9%
Gross Margin
+12.2%
Op Margin
+9.3%
Net Debt
$217.55M
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data