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NEOG

NeogenD
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Food Safety delivered its strongest quarterly core-growth rate since FY23, while positive cash flow, Petrifilm validation, and potential Genomics divestiture proceeds provide identifiable execution levers. The initial post-print reaction was positive.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.8.
What can break
Animal Safety remains exposed to supplier and production disruptions despite sequential improvement.
Momentum
81
Value
50
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $12.50 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.33
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -2.5
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +2.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Animal Safety remains exposed to supplier and production disruptions despite sequential improvement.
  • • Exact FY27 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges are unavailable in the included excerpt.
  • • Reported revenue remained flat, GAAP loss persisted, Animal Safety remains below prior-year levels, and the Petrifilm transition and supplier recovery still require execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q4 FY26 earnings beat with mixed operating profile

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-9.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-0.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 80.9 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 45.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.59B
Beta
1.97
Shares Out
218.06M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-327.0
P/S (TTM)
1.78
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
81.02
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
-98.2%
Gross Margin
+36.4%
Op Margin
-1.7%
Net Debt
$626.5M
Current Ratio
3.82
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data