B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
NDLS
NoodlesFNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained EBITDA margin recovery, accelerating franchise conversions, or an outlier sale/upgrade could re-rate the stock toward the $14.0 outlier target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Consensus clustered at very low targets (median ~$1.84) that can accelerate downgrades [#SERP-1]
Momentum
75
Value
54
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.84 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $1.00Analysis 2026-03-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1.75
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Consensus clustered at very low targets (median ~$1.84) that can accelerate downgrades [#SERP-1]
- • Earnings miss or weak guidance on 2026-03-12 [#SERP-10]
- • Continued negative EPS, active downgrades, or liquidity/financing constraints push the share price into low-single-digit territory (bear target: $1.0).
Catalyst clock
2026-03-12
Earnings release — Mar 12, 2026
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+16.0
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 75.3 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$1.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$104.42M
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
5.97M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.4
P/S (TTM)
0.07
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
27.38
Rev YoY
+0.5%
EPS YoY
-78.1%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+1.4%
Net Debt
$267.59M
Current Ratio
0.29
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data