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NCI

Neo-Concept International GroupF
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A timely FY2025 20-F plus evidence that the February 2026 raise strengthened liquidity and supported owned-brand expansion could reduce some governance and financing discount at a very small market cap.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Another delayed or weak annual filing could deepen governance and execution concerns.
Momentum
91
Value
59
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.46 · Bull $0.72 · Bear $0.22Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -5.1
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Another delayed or weak annual filing could deepen governance and execution concerns.
  • • Owned-brand retail momentum may fail to offset private-label demand weakness tied to the U.S. market.
  • • The company still has weak forward visibility, recent dilution, prior filing slippage, and an operating mix where owned-brand growth has only partially offset sharp private-label weakness; if the next filing is late or thin, the stock can stay trapped in a low-trust micro-cap regime.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

The February 2026 equity raise needs to translate into visible liquidity and operating follow-through

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
-5.8
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 91.3 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.46
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$28.8M
Beta
-
Shares Out
2.36M
P/E (TTM)
4.3
P/S (TTM)
0.18
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
2.78
Rev YoY
-24.0%
EPS YoY
+34.0%
Gross Margin
+33.8%
Op Margin
+1.3%
Net Debt
$5.67M
Current Ratio
2.61
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data