B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NAVN
NavanANasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue and GBV grew 35% and 45%, respectively; subscription revenue grew 39%; record signed demand improved forward visibility; and management raised FY2027 revenue guidance to $927-$933 million and non-GAAP operating-income guidance to $82-$86 million [#SEC-8K-2026-09-09]. Post-print ratings remained constructive: Rosenblatt raised its target to $29 from $27, while Needham retained Buy/$30.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-14.
What can break
BoomPop and Smartrips add integration and execution risk; the packet does not quantify their expected revenue, cost, or dilution effects.
Momentum
71
Value
36
Sentiment
89
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-09-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-14
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-14
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-14. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $30.87
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d -12.3
Value36 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment89 · Δ7d +30.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-14.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +30.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • BoomPop and Smartrips add integration and execution risk; the packet does not quantify their expected revenue, cost, or dilution effects.
- • GAAP operating loss widened to $26 million from $12 million year over year, diverging from improving non-GAAP profitability [#SEC-8K-2026-09-09].
- • The market rejected the headline beat because costs and expectations mattered more: GAAP operating loss widened to $26 million from $12 million and GAAP operating margin deteriorated to negative 11% from negative 7%, despite better non-GAAP results [#SEC-8K-2026-09-09].
Catalyst clock
2026-10-31
Q3 execution against raised outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.3
Δ21d
-21.3
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
89
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+30.7
Δ21d
+39.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 71.3 / Value 36.0 / Sentiment 89.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.3B
Beta
-
Shares Out
254.33M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-18.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+39.9%
EPS YoY
-66.8%
Gross Margin
+67.7%
Op Margin
-24.9%
Net Debt
-$645.8M
Current Ratio
4.27
As of 2026-09-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data