B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$118.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
NATH
Nathan's FamousCNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Nathan's sustains above-trend same-store sales, controls commodity and labor costs, and accelerates franchise openings; limited sell-side coverage can magnify upside and allow re-rating toward the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Commodity and input-cost inflation
Momentum
63
Value
49
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $101.12 · Bull $118.50 · Bear $78.55Analysis 2026-02-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d -
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Commodity and input-cost inflation
- • Food safety or recall event
- • Weak consumer discretionary spending, higher commodity or labor inflation, or franchise underperformance compress margins and drive multiple contraction toward the analyst low; thin coverage may amplify negative moves on adverse news.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-02
Next quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 63.2 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 66.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$101.12
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$78.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$399.52M
Beta
0.33
Shares Out
4.1M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
2.41
P/FCF (TTM)
23.47
Rev YoY
+15.0%
EPS YoY
-1.2%
Gross Margin
+28.5%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$27.68M
Current Ratio
2.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data