MWA

Mueller Water ProductsC

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case assumes sustained municipal capex and modest share gains, supporting a ~12.5% premium to the broker-last anchor (bull = anchor * 1.125). This scenario is modestly above the analyst median and toward the consensus high (see comparison below).

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

What can break

Decline in municipal/capital spending reducing order flow

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $27.55 · Bull $31.95 · Bear $24.14

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $31.00

Why

Momentum29 · Δ7d +3.5

Value60 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment55 · Δ7d -6.1

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+3.5

Δ21d

+1.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.1

Δ21d

+3.1

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 28.7 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 54.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$3.98B

Beta

1.17

Shares Out

156.47M

P/E (TTM)

19.7

P/S (TTM)

2.63

P/FCF (TTM)

28.85

Rev YoY

+5.5%

EPS YoY

+15.3%

Gross Margin

+37.6%

Op Margin

+18.2%

Net Debt

$32.9M

Current Ratio

4.57

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology