MUSA
Murphy USACNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 was not just an accounting beat: total fuel contribution rose to 35.0 cpg from 25.4 cpg, merchandise contribution increased 7.3% to $210.2 million, volumes grew 2.1%, and management said March strength carried into April with expected all-in margins of 35-40 cpg [#8-K-2026-04-29]. If that cadence holds, the company has room to outperform its original 2026 operating framework.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Balance-sheet leverage is not trivial for a retailer pursuing ongoing buybacks and store growth, with about $2.16 billion of long-term debt plus $183 million drawn on the revolver at December 31, 2025 [#IR-2026-02-04].
Momentum
70
Value
56
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $500.00 · Bull $565.00 · Bear $430.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $620.70
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d -0.2
Value56 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-9.2
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
35
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-16.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 69.8 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 34.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$11.29B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
18.47M
P/E (TTM)
17.6
P/S (TTM)
0.40
P/FCF (TTM)
23.81
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
+176.7%
Gross Margin
+5.5%
Op Margin
+3.7%
Net Debt
$2.71B
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology