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MUR

Murphy OilD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 showed solid execution: production beat the top end of guidance, Eagle Ford wells showed better 60-day oil performance, FY2026 production guidance was maintained at 167-175 MBOEPD, and offshore/Vietnam milestones create multiple second-half and 2027 rerating points. [#8-K-2026-05-06]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Capital spending and exploration intensity stayed elevated in Q1, with higher activity in Cote d'Ivoire, the Gulf of America, and Vietnam; if these programs slip or disappoint, free-cash-flow conversion could stay pressured. [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Momentum
37
Value
53
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $28.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.53
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -6.1
Value53 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -6.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
37
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
+4.1
Value
53
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
46
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-14.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 36.6 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 46.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$5.56B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
143.35M
P/E (TTM)
31.3
P/S (TTM)
1.60
P/FCF (TTM)
17.88
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-27.1%
Gross Margin
+20.8%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$1.82B
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology