MUR
Murphy OilCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 showed solid execution: production beat the top end of guidance, Eagle Ford wells showed better 60-day oil performance, FY2026 production guidance was maintained at 167-175 MBOEPD, and offshore/Vietnam milestones create multiple second-half and 2027 rerating points. [#8-K-2026-05-06]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Capital spending and exploration intensity stayed elevated in Q1, with higher activity in Cote d'Ivoire, the Gulf of America, and Vietnam; if these programs slip or disappoint, free-cash-flow conversion could stay pressured. [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Momentum
35
Value
64
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $28.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.81
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -30.8
Value64 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +4.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
35
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-30.8
Δ21d
-14.0
Value
64
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
48
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+8.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 34.9 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 48.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-05-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-28
Market Cap
$5.19B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
142.74M
P/E (TTM)
31.3
P/S (TTM)
1.60
P/FCF (TTM)
17.88
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-101.9%
Gross Margin
+70.0%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$851.8M
Current Ratio
0.94
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

