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MUR

Murphy OilD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 showed solid execution: production beat the top end of guidance, Eagle Ford wells showed better 60-day oil performance, FY2026 production guidance was maintained at 167-175 MBOEPD, and offshore/Vietnam milestones create multiple second-half and 2027 rerating points. [#8-K-2026-05-06]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Capital spending and exploration intensity stayed elevated in Q1, with higher activity in Cote d'Ivoire, the Gulf of America, and Vietnam; if these programs slip or disappoint, free-cash-flow conversion could stay pressured. [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Momentum
33
Value
53
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $28.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.53
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +16.7
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -7.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
33
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.7
Δ21d
-13.2
Value
53
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 32.7 / Value 53.5 / Sentiment 48.0

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$5.35B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
143.35M
P/E (TTM)
31.3
P/S (TTM)
1.60
P/FCF (TTM)
17.88
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-27.1%
Gross Margin
+20.8%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$1.82B
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology