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MUFG

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial GroupD
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
BOJ normalization, stronger loan growth and disciplined capital returns drive meaningful NII and fee-income upside, pushing valuation toward high analyst targets.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Adverse FX (JPY) moves affecting translated earnings and ADR liquidity
Momentum
59
Value
52
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $17.43 · Bull $19.85 · Bear $13.23Analysis 2026-01-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $26.81
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -12.3
Value52 · Δ7d +1.4
Sentiment43 · Δ7d +4.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse FX (JPY) moves affecting translated earnings and ADR liquidity
  • • Protracted low BOJ policy or delayed yield normalization
  • • Protracted low rates, adverse FX moves or credit deterioration compress margins and force multiple contraction below current levels.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-08

Analyst target updates

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
59
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.3
Δ21d
-19.7
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.3
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 59.0 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 43.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$17.43
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.23
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$234.15B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
11.26B
P/E (TTM)
15.5
P/S (TTM)
3.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
6.33
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
+36.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+20.9%
Net Debt
-$80.3B
Current Ratio
1.79
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data