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MU

MicronD
Nasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q3 revenue, exceptionally strong margins and cash flow, a $50 billion Q4 revenue outlook, and strategic customer agreements support a positive operating thesis.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
13 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
AI-memory demand, pricing, and supply discipline remain cyclical and sector-sensitive.
Momentum
96
Value
62
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
13 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $766.00 · Bull $850.00 · Bear $562.00Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,575.35
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d +3.4
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment34 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 13 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-memory demand, pricing, and supply discipline remain cyclical and sector-sensitive.
  • • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable.
  • • The setup depends on sustaining unusually high margins and AI-memory demand.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-20

Execution against elevated fiscal Q4 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+10.7
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+8.8
Sentiment
34
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-3.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 96.4 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 34.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$850.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$766.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$562.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.14T
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
1.13B
P/E (TTM)
29.7
P/S (TTM)
8.30
P/FCF (TTM)
85.13
Rev YoY
+345.7%
EPS YoY
+1372.1%
Gross Margin
+72.6%
Op Margin
+65.7%
Net Debt
$5.04B
Current Ratio
3.42
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data