B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MU
MicronANasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record fiscal Q4 revenue and cash generation, strong fiscal Q1 guidance, contracted customer volumes, and server-memory qualifications could sustain earnings above the prior year's level. These are company-reported results and plans, not independently verified future demand.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
15 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Fiscal 2026 capital expenditure was $27.37 billion; continued manufacturing investment raises execution and future cash-conversion risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
Momentum
77
Value
64
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
15 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $915.00 · Bull $1,100.00 · Bear $700.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,631.56
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -12.7
Value64 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 15 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • News driver: Micron makes a statement with the latest clue about its cash windfall.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2026 capital expenditure was $27.37 billion; continued manufacturing investment raises execution and future cash-conversion risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
- • Fiscal Q1 revenue, approximately 86.25% non-GAAP gross-margin, or EPS guidance could prove difficult to sustain after an exceptional fiscal Q4. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
- • The share price may already discount exceptional revenue and margins.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Fiscal Q1 2027 guidance delivery
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.7
Δ21d
-14.2
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-9.1
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 76.5 / Value 63.9 / Sentiment 57.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$915.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$700.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$1.02T
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
1.13B
P/E (TTM)
29.7
P/S (TTM)
8.30
P/FCF (TTM)
85.13
Rev YoY
+345.7%
EPS YoY
+1372.1%
Gross Margin
+72.6%
Op Margin
+65.7%
Net Debt
$5.04B
Current Ratio
3.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data