B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MTZ
MasTecCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record backlog, broad-based segment growth, margin expansion, raised FY2026 guidance, and Superior's data-center capabilities support continued earnings growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
Communications revenue and profitability weakness
Momentum
8
Value
50
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $255.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $235.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $429.73
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d +0.2
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +2.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Communications revenue and profitability weakness
- • High expectations following strong guidance and backlog growth
- • Communications profitability weakened materially, free cash flow was negative in Q2, and the deterministic prior remains negative.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 results and FY2026 guidance increase
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+3.0
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+18.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 8.2 / Value 50.2 / Sentiment 74.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$24.29B
Beta
1.94
Shares Out
80.31M
P/E (TTM)
55.3
P/S (TTM)
1.33
P/FCF (TTM)
44.05
Rev YoY
+23.4%
EPS YoY
+51.0%
Gross Margin
+10.1%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
$2.4B
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data