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MTZ

MasTecA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 revenue, 100 basis points of consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, 30% backlog growth and higher full-year adjusted EPS guidance support continued earnings growth if backlog converts cleanly and Superior broadens data-center participation. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
A director sold 6,500 shares for approximately $2.41 million on June 3, 2026; the filing establishes the transaction but not its motivation. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-05]
Momentum
9
Value
56
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $210.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $170.00Analysis 2026-09-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $372.64
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d -0.6
Value56 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +11.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A director sold 6,500 shares for approximately $2.41 million on June 3, 2026; the filing establishes the transaction but not its motivation. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-05]
  • • Backlog does not guarantee revenue or profitability and remains exposed to project timing, cancellation, labor, cost and execution risks.
  • • Communications margin contraction and negative Q2 free cash flow show that consolidated growth has not eliminated segment and cash-conversion risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Q3 execution against raised 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
9
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+3.8
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+3.4
Sentiment
78
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.3
Δ21d
+18.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 9.4 / Value 55.9 / Sentiment 78.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.74B
Beta
1.94
Shares Out
80.31M
P/E (TTM)
55.3
P/S (TTM)
1.33
P/FCF (TTM)
44.05
Rev YoY
+23.4%
EPS YoY
+51.0%
Gross Margin
+10.1%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
$2.4B
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data