MTRX

Matrix ServiceD

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The strongest bull read is that Q3 showed an operating inflection: Matrix returned to profitability, Storage and Terminal Solutions and Utility and Power Infrastructure margins improved, cash remained strong, and management pointed to mining, LNG, power generation, and data-center-related opportunities. If delayed projects convert in fiscal Q4 and FY27, the current valuation could look depressed versus recovery earnings power.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Customer concentration remains meaningful: the 10-K states one customer represented 17.4% of fiscal 2025 revenue and another represented 10.5%, increasing project timing risk [#10-K-2025-09-10].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $9.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $20.00

Why

Momentum27 · Δ7d -15.2

Value49 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment47 · Δ7d -0.1

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-15.2

Δ21d

-50.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+11.2

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 27.2 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 47.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$341.83M

Beta

0.94

Shares Out

28.13M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-10.8

P/S (TTM)

0.44

P/FCF (TTM)

4.94

Rev YoY

+3.3%

EPS YoY

-123.7%

Gross Margin

+6.2%

Op Margin

-3.7%

Net Debt

-$203.21M

Current Ratio

0.90

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology