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MTN

Vail ResortsC
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that fiscal 2026 reflects an unusually poor snow year rather than a broken model: management still emphasized stability from advance pass sales, cost discipline, record guest satisfaction, and early positive results from lift-ticket and marketing changes, which could help visitation and margin recovery when weather normalizes. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-08]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Early 2026/2027 pass metrics weakened, with units down about 10%, days down about 8%, and sales dollars down about 5%, raising concern about forward demand and pricing/mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-08]
Momentum
67
Value
51
Sentiment
37
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $136.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $118.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $148.50
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +9.5
Value51 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment37 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
67
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-0.7
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
37
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-8.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 66.6 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 36.9

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$5.27B
Beta
0.81
Shares Out
35.63M
P/E (TTM)
19.7
P/S (TTM)
1.62
P/FCF (TTM)
175.53
Rev YoY
-7.0%
EPS YoY
-15.7%
Gross Margin
+31.0%
Op Margin
+18.6%
Net Debt
$2.99B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology