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MTH

Meritage HomesA
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-07-17
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that July earnings show better-than-feared spring demand, improved absorption and a margin trough, while Meritage's high community count, intra-quarter conversion model and solid liquidity allow it to defend volume until affordability improves [#SEC-8K-2026-04-22] [#8-K-2026-06-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Backlog and pricing deterioration may continue if demand remains dependent on discounting rather than organic absorption [#SEC-8K-2026-04-22].
Momentum
78
Value
59
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $66.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-17
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $81.63
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -12.8
Value59 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -8.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.8
Δ21d
-6.3
Value
59
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
47
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-7.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 78.0 / Value 58.7 / Sentiment 47.0

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$4.95B
Beta
1.48
Shares Out
66.7M
P/E (TTM)
8.9
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
42.69
Rev YoY
-17.7%
EPS YoY
-51.7%
Gross Margin
+18.9%
Op Margin
+11.6%
Net Debt
$1.11B
Current Ratio
11.58
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology