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MTCH

Match GroupB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 exceeded Match's own prior revenue and EBITDA setup, Tinder's leading indicators improved materially, and visible post-print sell-side reaction was not uniformly negative: a May 6, 2026 Benzinga ratings page showed Citigroup maintained Neutral and raised its target to $39 from $33. That supports the idea that the turnaround narrative gained some credibility after the print.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Match ended Q1 with $4.0 billion of long-term debt and plans to use $424 million of cash to repay 2026 exchangeable notes by or at June 2026 maturity; liquidity looks adequate, but leverage remains a monitoring item. [#8-K-2026-05-05]
Momentum
69
Value
60
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $29.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $41.31
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +4.1
Value60 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+16.3
Value
60
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
38
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-5.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 68.9 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 38.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$9.13B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
233.27M
P/E (TTM)
15.1
P/S (TTM)
2.21
P/FCF (TTM)
9.32
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
+52.0%
Gross Margin
+70.4%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$3.06B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology