MSM

MSC Industrial DirectC

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

If upcoming quarterly results and management commentary show stabilizing order trends, margin expansion from pricing/productivity, and working-capital improvements, MSC could re-rate toward the top of the analyst range as industrial customers normalize spend.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.

What can break

High dividend payout constraining reinvestment or balance-sheet flexibility

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $95.00 · Bull $100.00 · Bear $82.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $133.67

Why

Momentum84 · Δ7d +6.3

Value51 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment21 · Δ7d -3.3

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+6.3

Δ21d

+5.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-1.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.3

Δ21d

-5.7

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 83.6 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 21.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$7.06B

Beta

0.83

Shares Out

55.85M

P/E (TTM)

24.2

P/S (TTM)

1.28

P/FCF (TTM)

93.90

Rev YoY

+2.9%

EPS YoY

+8.0%

Gross Margin

+40.8%

Op Margin

+8.0%

Net Debt

$482.58M

Current Ratio

1.73

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology