B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$351.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MSGS
Madison Square Garden SportsFNYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Operational recovery in ticketing, premium seating and sponsorships combined with favorable analyst sentiment lifts the multiple toward the high‑end of consensus; bull target tracks analyst highs and reflects successful execution and multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
What can break
Adverse sponsorship renewal terms or lost partners
Momentum
71
Value
45
Sentiment
29
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $284.02 · Bull $351.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-02-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $480.67
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +9.1
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment29 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse sponsorship renewal terms or lost partners
- • Attendance/revenue shortfall from key events
- • Weak attendance, nonrenewal of key sponsorships or a negative surprise in margins could push the stock toward the low end of published targets; severe macro stress or a missed guide would amplify downside.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-10
Analyst revisions / broker note updates
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+2.8
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.7
Sentiment
29
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+4.6
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 70.7 / Value 44.9 / Sentiment 29.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$284.02
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.92B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
24.08M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
1286.5
P/S (TTM)
5.99
P/FCF (TTM)
214.30
Rev YoY
+36.7%
EPS YoY
-1676.2%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+2.7%
Net Debt
$995.8M
Current Ratio
0.50
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data