B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$351.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MSGS
Madison Square Garden SportsFNYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Operational recovery in ticketing, premium seating and sponsorships combined with favorable analyst sentiment lifts the multiple toward the high‑end of consensus; bull target tracks analyst highs and reflects successful execution and multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30.
What can break
Adverse sponsorship renewal terms or lost partners
Momentum
75
Value
44
Sentiment
27
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $284.02 · Bull $351.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-02-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $480.67
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -2.7
Value44 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment27 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse sponsorship renewal terms or lost partners
- • Attendance/revenue shortfall from key events
- • Weak attendance, nonrenewal of key sponsorships or a negative surprise in margins could push the stock toward the low end of published targets; severe macro stress or a missed guide would amplify downside.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-30
Analyst revisions / broker note updates
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-6.8
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
27
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-0.6
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 75.0 / Value 44.2 / Sentiment 26.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$284.02
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.36B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
24.08M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
1213.7
P/S (TTM)
5.99
P/FCF (TTM)
214.30
Rev YoY
+36.7%
EPS YoY
-1676.2%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+2.7%
Net Debt
$995.8M
Current Ratio
0.50
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data