MP

MP MaterialsC

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is that MP is showing real operating leverage: NdPr production and sales volumes accelerated, magnetics revenue scaled sharply, and downstream customer-backed capacity plus DoW support give the company a differentiated U.S. strategic position.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-02.

What can break

A large portion of Q1 earnings support came from the DoW-linked price protection agreement, which can make near-term profitability look stronger than underlying product economics alone.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

3 · Net Bullish

AI TargetsBase $74.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $55.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Bullish

Target $78.62

Why

Momentum69 · Δ7d +1.0

Value34 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment52 · Δ7d -4.8

So what

Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+1.0

Δ21d

-17.3

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.8

Δ21d

+5.1

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 69.2 / Value 34.0 / Sentiment 52.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$12.34B

Beta

1.60

Shares Out

177.23M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-137.9

P/S (TTM)

44.64

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-50.37

Rev YoY

-14.9%

EPS YoY

-53.6%

Gross Margin

+11.5%

Op Margin

-78.6%

Net Debt

$61.23M

Current Ratio

8.05

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology