MP

MP MaterialsD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is that MP is showing real operating leverage: NdPr production and sales volumes accelerated, magnetics revenue scaled sharply, and downstream customer-backed capacity plus DoW support give the company a differentiated U.S. strategic position.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

What can break

A large portion of Q1 earnings support came from the DoW-linked price protection agreement, which can make near-term profitability look stronger than underlying product economics alone.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $74.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $55.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $77.64

Why

Momentum13 · Δ7d +6.7

Value34 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment84 · Δ7d +5.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+6.7

Δ21d

-12.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+5.6

Δ21d

+19.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 13.3 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 83.7

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$8.14B

Beta

1.60

Shares Out

178.02M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-90.5

P/S (TTM)

44.64

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-26.54

Rev YoY

+118.6%

EPS YoY

-67.6%

Gross Margin

+8.1%

Op Margin

-78.6%

Net Debt

-$796.44M

Current Ratio

7.18

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology