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MOV

Movado GroupA
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q2 sales increased 4.9% to $169.8 million, with underlying gross-margin improvement even after excluding duty refunds. Movado reported $211.6 million of cash and no debt at July 31; a completed EBEL sale could add flexibility.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
What can break
Direct public watch peers and reliable analyst-target breadth are absent from the packet.
Momentum
55
Value
63
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $43.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.50
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -14.8
Value63 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Direct public watch peers and reliable analyst-target breadth are absent from the packet.
  • • Higher shipping costs partly offset favorable product and channel mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26]
  • • Refunds supplied $0.11 of fiscal Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.54, so reported profitability overstates the recurring run rate.

Catalyst clock

2027-01-31

Pending sale of 95% of EBEL

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
55
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.8
Δ21d
-16.6
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-5.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 55.1 / Value 62.9 / Sentiment 65.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$502M
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
22.31M
P/E (TTM)
22.8
P/S (TTM)
0.50
P/FCF (TTM)
78.98
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
+381.1%
Gross Margin
+54.9%
Op Margin
+5.8%
Net Debt
-$152.31M
Current Ratio
4.56
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data