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MNTS

MomentusB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth from Vigoride 7 hosted payloads and NASA/DARPA engineering work, plus planned Vigoride 8 and Vigoride 9 missions, provide genuine operating proof points. The May shareholder letter also forecast $10.0 million of 2026 revenue versus $1.1 million in 2025.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
What can break
Future value depends on successful Vigoride mission execution, contract milestones, and regulatory or operational delivery.
Momentum
7
Value
34
Sentiment
89
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.75 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $2.50Analysis 2026-08-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.00
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -0.6
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment89 · Δ7d +1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Future value depends on successful Vigoride mission execution, contract milestones, and regulatory or operational delivery.
  • • No reliable post-earnings consensus, analyst revision, target-change, or market-reaction evidence was available.
  • • Q2 revenue was only $25,000, the company remains loss-making and cash-burning, and first-half financing inflows substantially exceeded operating cash generation.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

Mixed Q2 operating read-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+4.6
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
89
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+8.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 6.8 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 88.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$103.01M
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
21.96M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.1
P/S (TTM)
11.94
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.28
Rev YoY
-86.9%
EPS YoY
-96.8%
Gross Margin
+16.2%
Op Margin
-832.0%
Net Debt
-$1.56M
Current Ratio
13.70
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data