MNTK

Montauk RenewablesD

Nasdaq / Utilities

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

At $1.19, the stock discounts a lot of bad news: 2025 revenue held roughly flat, RNG production still grew modestly, GreenWave contributed investment income, the Raeger gas-rights extension improved asset duration, and near-term Montauk Ag startup plus the longer-dated Tulsa project offer upside if execution improves [#PR-2026-03-11].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite.

What can break

Earnings remain exposed to host-landfill feedstock variability, maintenance, and project-specific operating disruptions.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $1.30 · Bull $2.20 · Bear $0.70

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $2.03

Why

Momentum73 · Δ7d -

Value42 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment29 · Δ7d -

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-0.7

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 73.2 / Value 42.2 / Sentiment 29.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$249.1M

Beta

0.07

Shares Out

142.34M

P/E (TTM)

87.8

P/S (TTM)

1.47

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-2.54

Rev YoY

+9.0%

EPS YoY

-100.0%

Gross Margin

+36.0%

Op Margin

-4.6%

Net Debt

$114.18M

Current Ratio

0.85

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology