B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MMSI
Merit MedicalANasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print exceeded expectations on revenue, organic growth, margin, and EPS, while FY2026 guidance was raised. The reported analyst target median of $99.8182 implies meaningful upside from the $85.53 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.8.
What can break
Analyst target revisions and consensus-estimate changes are not fully available.
Momentum
78
Value
58
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $99.82 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $78.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.45
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -2.5
Value58 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +11.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target revisions and consensus-estimate changes are not fully available.
- • OEM and acquisition performance can be variable quarter to quarter.
- • The market still needs to validate that growth and margin improvement persist beyond Q2, particularly as procedure seasonality and tariff uncertainty affect the second half.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 beat and FY2026 outlook raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-4.3
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.8
Δ21d
+5.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 78.5 / Value 57.9 / Sentiment 77.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$99.82
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.36B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
59.71M
P/E (TTM)
45.8
P/S (TTM)
3.59
P/FCF (TTM)
26.02
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
+20.3%
Gross Margin
+49.4%
Op Margin
+12.7%
Net Debt
$373.07M
Current Ratio
4.20
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data