B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MMS
MAXIMUSBNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 15.0% from 14.7% a year earlier despite lower revenue. If the temporary federal incentive pause ends as scheduled and signed awards convert, low apparent earnings multiples could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $7.90–$8.20 and free-cash-flow guidance is $425 million–$475 million following the customer-directed modification. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
65
Value
69
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $92.50
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +43.1
Value69 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $7.90–$8.20 and free-cash-flow guidance is $425 million–$475 million following the customer-directed modification. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
- • Federal revenue faces difficult comparisons as prior-year disaster support and temporary clinical volumes fade. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
- • The contract modification reduced FY2026 earnings and free-cash-flow guidance visibility.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
FY2027 guidance tests earnings recovery
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+43.1
Δ21d
+47.0
Value
69
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-27.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 65.3 / Value 68.8 / Sentiment 45.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.3B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
52.36M
P/E (TTM)
16.2
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM)
16.44
Rev YoY
-5.1%
EPS YoY
+5.0%
Gross Margin
+24.0%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
$1.18B
Current Ratio
2.42
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data