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MMM

3MA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result supports a genuine operating inflection: adjusted organic growth reached 5.4%, adjusted margin expanded 40 bps, cash generation was strong, and full-year guidance was raised. Goldman Sachs raised its target to $202 from $190, while UBS raised its target to $218 from $190 after the print.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.2.
What can break
Analyst target-count and options/short-interest evidence are unavailable, limiting confidence in market positioning.
Momentum
71
Value
57
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $185.00 · Bull $218.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $189.47
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d -14.4
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +9.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target-count and options/short-interest evidence are unavailable, limiting confidence in market positioning.
  • • Consumer demand remains weak, particularly in Home Improvement and Packaging and Expression.
  • • The earnings response may be largely realized after the sharp post-release rally.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-21

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-15.1
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.2
Δ21d
+12.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 71.1 / Value 57.1 / Sentiment 81.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$218.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$92.94B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
515.72M
P/E (TTM)
26.1
P/S (TTM)
3.50
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
40.33
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
+33.5%
Gross Margin
+39.4%
Op Margin
+20.9%
Net Debt
$7.2B
Current Ratio
1.24
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data