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MLI

Mueller IndustriesC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious constructive floor: Q1 2026 was record-like on sales, EPS, and cash generation, and management highlighted effective raw-material and price management plus a debt-free balance sheet with ongoing buybacks and dividend growth [#SEC-8K-2026-04-21].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
A portion of Q1 operating-income strength came from a $41.4 million gain on the Sherwood Valve sale rather than purely recurring operations [#SEC-8K-2026-04-21].
Momentum
58
Value
63
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-07-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $80.00
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d -4.4
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A portion of Q1 operating-income strength came from a $41.4 million gain on the Sherwood Valve sale rather than purely recurring operations [#SEC-8K-2026-04-21].
  • • Bison Metals integration is strategically positive in management's framing, but execution or synergy slippage could reduce the expected benefit to the copper tube platform.
  • • The same company source also tempers the quality of the beat because higher selling prices helped drive sales and reported operating income included a $41.4 million Sherwood Valve gain; management's demand optimism still leans on improvement in residential and commercial construction that has not yet been proven in the packet [#SEC-8K-2026-04-21].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-01

Two-for-one split begins split-adjusted trading

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-20.6
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+3.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 58.3 / Value 62.9 / Sentiment 56.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.74B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
221.18M
P/E (TTM)
17.8
P/S (TTM)
3.20
P/FCF (TTM)
23.12
Rev YoY
+25.5%
EPS YoY
+1.8%
Gross Margin
+26.8%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$1.38B
Current Ratio
4.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data