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MLI

Mueller IndustriesB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 sales rose year over year, operating cash flow reached $337 million, and quarter-end cash and short-term investments were $1.48 billion [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20]. Backlog growth across all segments and $201.9 million of Q3 repurchases support the upside case if margins hold.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
What can break
Higher copper costs or weaker price realization could compress margins; Q3 average COMEX copper was 34.2% above the prior-year period [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20].
Momentum
44
Value
66
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $54.00 · Bull $66.00 · Bear $44.00Analysis 2026-10-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $78.00
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d -34.4
Value66 · Δ7d +1.5
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher copper costs or weaker price realization could compress margins; Q3 average COMEX copper was 34.2% above the prior-year period [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20].
  • • Industrial Metals mix and persistent residential-construction weakness could offset backlog growth. Analyst revision
  • • The $1.00 EPS print missed MarketBeat's $1.08 consensus despite a revenue beat.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-13

Q3 earnings-miss repricing

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-34.4
Δ21d
-18.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.5 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 58.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$11.96B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
217.97M
P/E (TTM)
17.8
P/S (TTM)
3.20
P/FCF (TTM)
23.12
Rev YoY
+25.5%
EPS YoY
+1.8%
Gross Margin
+26.8%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$1.38B
Current Ratio
4.78
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data