MKL

Markel GroupC

NYSE / Insurance

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Cycle recovery and better-than-expected reserve releases or underwriting margin expansion drive shares above the analyst high; strong investment returns and selective buybacks amplify upside.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

What can break

Adverse reserve development in legacy books

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $2,032.82 · Bull $2,320.50 · Bear $1,702.20

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $1,975.40

Why

Momentum40 · Δ7d +4.1

Value58 · Δ7d -0.4

Sentiment53 · Δ7d -5.0

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.1

Δ21d

+1.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.0

Δ21d

-4.5

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 40.5 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 53.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$24.75B

Beta

0.79

Shares Out

12.51M

P/E (TTM)

13.4

P/S (TTM)

1.67

P/FCF (TTM)

11.49

Rev YoY

-16.9%

EPS YoY

-256.5%

Gross Margin

Op Margin

+18.5%

Net Debt

$410.55M

Current Ratio

0.69

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology