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MKC

McCormick Non-VtgB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.86 exceeded the $0.76 consensus reported by Investing.com, while revenue of about $2.02 billion exceeded its $1.98 billion estimate. McCormick reported 1.9% organic sales growth, 180 basis points of adjusted gross-margin expansion and stronger year-to-date operating cash flow.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: McCormick Q3 2026 earnings beat on pricing gains.
What can break
A packaging-material shortage could reduce total-company fourth-quarter volume growth by up to one percentage point. [#IR-2026-10-01-REMARKS] Management remarks
Momentum
28
Value
57
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $49.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $38.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $53.82
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d +5.3
Value57 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: McCormick Q3 2026 earnings beat on pricing gains.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A packaging-material shortage could reduce total-company fourth-quarter volume growth by up to one percentage point. [#IR-2026-10-01-REMARKS] Management remarks
  • • Consumer Americas volume/mix declined 2.5% in Q3, and management expects its improvement to be gradual. [#IR-2026-10-01] Company Q3 release [#IR-2026-10-01-REMARKS] Management remarks
  • • The earnings beat did not eliminate weak Consumer Americas volumes: that segment's Q3 organic sales declined 0.3% and volume/mix fell 2.5%, while McCormick de Mexico contributed most of reported sales growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-11

UK phase-one decision on proposed Unilever Foods combination

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
28
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
-12.1
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-13.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 28.1 / Value 56.7 / Sentiment 63.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$12.96B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
269.06M
P/E (TTM)
22.7
P/S (TTM)
2.60
P/FCF (TTM)
97.76
Rev YoY
+16.7%
EPS YoY
-14.2%
Gross Margin
+38.9%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$4.13B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data