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MKC

McCormick Non-VtgB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Q2 showed real earnings quality beyond a simple accounting beat: Flavor Solutions accelerated, adjusted operating leverage was strong, FY2026 guidance was reaffirmed, and the Unilever Foods combination still offers a visible medium-term synergy and EPS-accretion path.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.5.
What can break
Americas consumer spice and seasoning volume pressure could persist longer than management expects, especially if promotional gaps stay wide.
Momentum
57
Value
55
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.00 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $46.00Analysis 2026-06-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.64
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d -5.6
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +12.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Americas consumer spice and seasoning volume pressure could persist longer than management expects, especially if promotional gaps stay wide.
  • • High coverage means weak follow-through on H2 consumer-volume recovery would likely be noticed quickly by analysts and the market.
  • • The bear case is that consumer organic volume remains soft in Americas spices and seasonings, some Q2 margin help came from a $28 million tariff refund, and post-print analyst revisions were mixed rather than decisively stronger, with at least one target increase but also target cuts tied to volume concerns.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-25

Q2 beat with reaffirmed FY2026 outlook resets near-term sentiment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
57
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
+12.2
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.4
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+10.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 57.0 / Value 54.7 / Sentiment 76.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.51B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
268.85M
P/E (TTM)
22.7
P/S (TTM)
2.60
P/FCF (TTM)
97.76
Rev YoY
+16.7%
EPS YoY
-14.2%
Gross Margin
+38.9%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$4.13B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data