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MITT

TPG Mortgage Investment TrustB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
At the $6.05 anchor, MITT trades at about 0.61 times its reported $10.00 June book value. Sustained dividend coverage and a completed, accretive Cherry Hill merger could narrow that discount.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Cherry Hill shareholder approval, MITT share-issuance approval or other closing conditions could delay or prevent the merger. SEC Form S-4
Momentum
20
Value
62
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.10 · Bull $7.75 · Bear $4.60Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.06
Why
Momentum20 · Δ7d -0.9
Value62 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cherry Hill shareholder approval, MITT share-issuance approval or other closing conditions could delay or prevent the merger. SEC Form S-4
  • • Expected merger synergies and earnings accretion are management projections, not realized results. [#8-K-2026-08-10] SEC merger presentation
  • • The discount may reflect mortgage-credit marks, financing sensitivity, external-management costs and merger execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Proposed Cherry Hill merger

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
20
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-2.5
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-3.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 20.4 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 60.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$4.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$176.19M
Beta
1.73
Shares Out
31.8M
P/E (TTM)
9.2
P/S (TTM)
0.60
P/FCF (TTM)
23.23
Rev YoY
+13.3%
EPS YoY
-716.2%
Gross Margin
+94.8%
Op Margin
+94.4%
Net Debt
$8.02B
Current Ratio
0.15
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data