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MITK

MitekC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 SaaS revenue rose 36% year over year to $26.2 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin reached 38.5%. Sustained conversion of consortium and channel reach could justify upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Analyst revisions, consensus surprise, and the post-Q3 price reaction are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
36
Value
61
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $16.75 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $23.63
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d +23.4
Value61 · Δ7d -1.7
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -15.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise, and the post-Q3 price reaction are unavailable in the packet.
  • • Cash and investments fell from $196.5 million at September 30, 2025 to $100.2 million at June 30, 2026, primarily after retirement of convertible notes. Company earnings exhibit
  • • The next results must validate raised guidance and show that Q3 growth persists.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Fiscal 2026 results test the raised outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.4
Δ21d
+3.7
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.4
Δ21d
-21.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 36.3 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 44.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$16.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$841.08M
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
45.12M
P/E (TTM)
55.2
P/S (TTM)
2.60
P/FCF (TTM)
8.61
Rev YoY
+18.2%
EPS YoY
+236.2%
Gross Margin
+75.6%
Op Margin
+18.1%
Net Debt
-$33.53M
Current Ratio
2.74
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data