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MIDD

MiddlebyA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, raised FY2026 outlook, 8% Commercial Foodservice organic growth, completed separation, and ongoing share repurchases support a cautiously positive rerating case. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.0.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes, and detailed post-print attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
14
Value
66
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $130.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $98.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $155.22
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d -1.4
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +11.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, target changes, and detailed post-print attribution are unavailable.
  • • Commercial-foodservice chain demand and consumer spending may weaken despite current organic growth.
  • • The post-print share reaction is muted to negative, standalone reporting comparability is limited, and chain demand, consumer pressure, execution, and margin durability remain unresolved.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-9.0
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.0
Δ21d
+8.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.8 / Value 66.2 / Sentiment 86.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.2B
Beta
1.41
Shares Out
45.22M
P/E (TTM)
24.5
P/S (TTM)
1.96
P/FCF (TTM)
12.86
Rev YoY
+9.9%
EPS YoY
-39.4%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+17.1%
Net Debt
$2.06B
Current Ratio
1.99
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data