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MIDD

MiddlebyB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeded the high end of company guidance, commercial-foodservice organic growth was approximately 8%, and Middleby raised its FY2026 commercial-foodservice growth outlook to 6%–8%. A focused portfolio and successful margin program could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Brewing exit charges or delays could reduce the expected 2027 margin benefit. Middleby’s September 9 release
Momentum
49
Value
65
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $116.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $155.67
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +5.6
Value65 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -7.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Brewing exit charges or delays could reduce the expected 2027 margin benefit. Middleby’s September 9 release
  • • Customer demand, product acceptance and raw-material availability remain stated company risks. Middleby’s September 9 release
  • • Q2 GAAP EPS fell to $1.20 from $1.91 despite higher adjusted EPS; transaction costs, input inflation and execution risk complicate the improvement story.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Q3 test of reiterated guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+29.2
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.4
Δ21d
-21.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 48.6 / Value 65.1 / Sentiment 54.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$116.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.11B
Beta
1.41
Shares Out
45.22M
P/E (TTM)
24.5
P/S (TTM)
1.96
P/FCF (TTM)
12.86
Rev YoY
+9.9%
EPS YoY
-39.4%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+17.1%
Net Debt
$2.06B
Current Ratio
1.99
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data