B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MHK
Mohawk IndustriesBNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
At $98.74, the stock sits well below the packet’s median analyst target of $144, leaving room for upside if Mohawk converts price increases, backlog, and restructuring into steadier margin recovery. The Q1 filing/release package also showed much better operating cash generation and modest net leverage, which supports patience through the cycle.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Competitive pricing pressure remains visible in Flooring ROW and Flooring North America margins.
Momentum
54
Value
68
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $116.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-05-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $136.47
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -8.7
Value68 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -3.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competitive pricing pressure remains visible in Flooring ROW and Flooring North America margins.
- • Energy, oil-derivative, freight, and other input-cost inflation could outrun announced price increases.
- • The near-term setup is still constrained by soft residential remodeling and new home construction, competitive pricing pressure, and raw-material/energy inflation.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · AMC
Refinancing extends liquidity runway
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
54
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-22.9
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-4.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 54.3 / Value 67.6 / Sentiment 45.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$116.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.54B
Beta
1.23
Shares Out
60.44M
P/E (TTM)
16.6
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
11.77
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+37.6%
Gross Margin
+25.6%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$1.6B
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data