B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MHK
Mohawk IndustriesCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
At $98.74, the stock sits well below the packet’s median analyst target of $144, leaving room for upside if Mohawk converts price increases, backlog, and restructuring into steadier margin recovery. The Q1 filing/release package also showed much better operating cash generation and modest net leverage, which supports patience through the cycle.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
What can break
Competitive pricing pressure remains visible in Flooring ROW and Flooring North America margins.
Momentum
87
Value
66
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $116.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-05-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $135.79
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -1.3
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competitive pricing pressure remains visible in Flooring ROW and Flooring North America margins.
- • Energy, oil-derivative, freight, and other input-cost inflation could outrun announced price increases.
- • The near-term setup is still constrained by soft residential remodeling and new home construction, competitive pricing pressure, and raw-material/energy inflation.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-12
Refinancing extends liquidity runway
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-5.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 86.9 / Value 66.4 / Sentiment 49.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$116.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.17B
Beta
1.23
Shares Out
67.74M
P/E (TTM)
16.6
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
11.77
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+37.6%
Gross Margin
+25.6%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$1.6B
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data