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MGNI

MagniteD
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
CTV growth, improving profitability, and rising free cash flow could offset DV+ softness and support upside toward the low-to-mid $20s. Q1 results were solid, with contribution ex-TAC up 10% and adjusted EBITDA up 16% year over year.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
CTV growth may decelerate or fail to offset DV+ weakness.
Momentum
90
Value
54
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-07-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.16
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d +1.4
Value54 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment34 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CTV growth may decelerate or fail to offset DV+ weakness.
  • • Competitive and regulatory pressure from larger advertising platforms may constrain pricing or take rates. [#10-K-2026-02-25]
  • • The current deterministic signal is negative, and the thesis depends heavily on continued CTV execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-31

Recent insider selling may cap near-term momentum

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
90
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
34
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+2.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 90.3 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 34.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.28B
Beta
2.38
Shares Out
143.42M
P/E (TTM)
46.9
P/S (TTM)
3.43
P/FCF (TTM)
14.99
Rev YoY
+11.2%
EPS YoY
+75.2%
Gross Margin
+64.6%
Op Margin
+15.6%
Net Debt
$73M
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data