MG

Mistras GroupD

NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull read is that MISTRAS delivered a clean Q1 follow-up to the stronger FY2025 setup: revenue beat checked secondary consensus, profitability turned positive, strategic markets offset Oil & Gas weakness, and management reaffirmed full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

What can break

Free cash flow was negative $4.5M in Q1 and operating cash flow declined to $2.8M, leaving the deleveraging story dependent on better working-capital performance later in 2026.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $17.00 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $14.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-16 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $21.00

Why

Momentum26 · Δ7d -30.0

Value57 · Δ7d +0.6

Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.1

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-30.0

Δ21d

-61.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.6

Δ21d

+1.9

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+15.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 25.5 / Value 56.7 / Sentiment 54.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-16

Market Cap

$506.52M

Beta

0.89

Shares Out

31.82M

P/E (TTM)

23.7

P/S (TTM)

0.59

P/FCF (TTM)

16.66

Rev YoY

+4.6%

EPS YoY

-171.3%

Gross Margin

+27.1%

Op Margin

+5.3%

Net Debt

$214.61M

Current Ratio

1.81

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology