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METC

Ramaco ResourcesC
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: successful execution of offtake agreements and disciplined capex deliver materially higher volumes and EBITDA, supporting significant multiple expansion and the bull target. This outcome depends on sustained metallurgical coal demand and flawless operational execution.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Execution delays on expansion or offtake contracts
Momentum
6
Value
34
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $35.85 · Bull $51.22 · Bear $15.37Analysis 2026-01-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $18.34
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +0.8
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution delays on expansion or offtake contracts
  • • Leverage and refinancing or covenant stress
  • • Bear case: a prolonged softening in metallurgical coal prices, permitting or execution setbacks, or cash‑flow pressure lead to margin compression and valuation re‑rating toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26 · AMC

Analyst revisions / coverage changes

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+2.6
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
84
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 5.7 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 83.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$35.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.37
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$426.36M
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
63.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.6
P/S (TTM)
2.12
P/FCF (TTM)
63.82
Rev YoY
-5.3%
EPS YoY
-8.5%
Gross Margin
+0.9%
Op Margin
-13.6%
Net Debt
$28.86M
Current Ratio
4.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data