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META

Meta PlatformsB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue exceeded reported consensus by about $1.23 billion, Q4 guidance midpoint is above the reported $73.65 billion analyst expectation, and ad price and impression growth support the core monetization case. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Reuters AP
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Management did not provide a full-year 2027 revenue outlook and expects continued aggressive AI investment. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
94
Value
52
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $760.00 · Bull $850.00 · Bear $560.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $821.19
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -1.6
Value52 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +28.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • News driver: Need Landing Zone For Capex Estimates: Karoui.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +28.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management did not provide a full-year 2027 revenue outlook and expects continued aggressive AI investment. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • Q3 free cash flow was negative $2.12 billion while capex reached $34.91 billion; the 2026 capex floor rose to $135 billion. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • The legal charge, negative quarterly free cash flow, higher capex floor and nonvoting-share plan complicate the return-on-investment and governance cases.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

Q3 beat meets cash-flow and legal-cost scrutiny

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-1.7
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+28.2
Δ21d
+25.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 94.1 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 59.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$850.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$760.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$560.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.64T
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
2.55B
P/E (TTM)
22.7
P/S (TTM)
8.76
P/FCF (TTM)
41.95
Rev YoY
+28.0%
EPS YoY
-13.4%
Gross Margin
+81.7%
Op Margin
+38.1%
Net Debt
$2.65B
Current Ratio
2.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data