RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

META

Meta PlatformsC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Revenue growth, ad pricing, ad impressions, and user scale remain strong, supporting the view that AI investment is improving the core advertising engine. Management continues to expect 2026 operating income above 2025 levels.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
AI infrastructure spending may pressure margins and free cash flow for longer than expected.
Momentum
29
Value
54
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $650.00 · Bull $760.00 · Bear $480.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $745.38
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +8.4
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI infrastructure spending may pressure margins and free cash flow for longer than expected.
  • • Advertising concentration, foreign-exchange headwinds, competition, and platform-policy changes remain material execution risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • The post-print setup is weaker: EPS missed reported expectations, operating margin fell to 31% from 43%, free cash flow was $784M, and higher capex and legal costs reduce near-term earnings visibility.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 earnings reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+15.0
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-15.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 28.6 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 60.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$760.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$650.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$480.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.45T
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
2.55B
P/E (TTM)
22.7
P/S (TTM)
8.76
P/FCF (TTM)
41.95
Rev YoY
+28.0%
EPS YoY
-13.4%
Gross Margin
+81.7%
Op Margin
+38.1%
Net Debt
$2.65B
Current Ratio
2.23
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data